Richard G. Prouse
Newsletter

The Primary Source

One security or risk claim going around, checked against the original evidence, plus a practical tool you can use. Every two weeks. Written by Richard G. Prouse, Principal Analyst of Confidential Risk Consulting and author of the Lr Model paper.

No. 1 · 1 November 2026 · 3 min read

Credible vs possible: how to read a threat warning

On 31 October the US Embassy in Moscow warned of a credible threat. Within hours, a widely shared repost called it possible. Here is why that one word matters, how professionals grade threats, and a four-point check you can use on any alert.

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